Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.017887 0.020845 0.024110 0.027980 0.032437 0.037405 0.043359
2025-11-16 0.013330 0.017116 0.021688 0.027599 0.035026 0.044031 0.055760
2025-11-23 0.010093 0.014113 0.019362 0.026685 0.036599 0.049513 0.067565
2025-11-30 0.008506 0.012816 0.018841 0.027816 0.040776 0.058724 0.085360
2025-12-07 0.007007 0.011301 0.017686 0.027779 0.043217 0.065794 0.101129
2025-12-14 0.005666 0.009734 0.016137 0.026826 0.044058 0.070541 0.114026
2025-12-21 0.004766 0.008675 0.015159 0.026530 0.045759 0.076658 0.129623
2025-12-28 0.004348 0.008338 0.015271 0.027980 0.050396 0.087864 0.154569
2026-01-04 0.003895 0.007847 0.015028 0.028751 0.053939 0.097623 0.178194
2026-01-11 0.003304 0.006990 0.013987 0.027919 0.054506 0.102304 0.193545
2026-01-18 0.002879 0.006380 0.013304 0.027629 0.055976 0.108671 0.212513
2026-01-25 0.002456 0.005696 0.012365 0.026692 0.056064 0.112461 0.227073
2026-02-01 0.002114 0.005130 0.011596 0.026012 0.056621 0.117310 0.244439
2026-02-08 0.001876 0.004754 0.011165 0.025972 0.058466 0.124861 0.267955
2026-02-15 0.001622 0.004293 0.010475 0.025267 0.058813 0.129436 0.285984
2026-02-22 0.001528 0.004204 0.010611 0.026426 0.063347 0.143133 0.324402
2026-03-01 0.001373 0.003931 0.010272 0.026435 0.065300 0.151565 0.352526
2026-03-08 0.001188 0.003545 0.009601 0.025548 0.065066 0.155194 0.370546
2026-03-15 0.001060 0.003287 0.009205 0.025277 0.066248 0.162091 0.396591
2026-03-22 0.001021 0.003277 0.009449 0.026667 0.071651 0.179220 0.447858
2026-03-29 0.000957 0.003179 0.009445 0.027407 0.075518 0.193154 0.493069
2026-04-05 0.000840 0.002900 0.008900 0.026614 0.075352 0.197407 0.515580
2026-04-12 0.000756 0.002705 0.008561 0.026337 0.076504 0.205001 0.547028